From my extremely scientific sample size of one (me) I’ve drawn the very rigorous conclusion from a wealth of data: ebooks will win.
When I say win I mean win the way cars won over horses. Win in a way that is complete and pervasive. Win the way lasers won over catapults. Win the way Ninjas won over My Little Pony.
It is so incredibly easy to buy books on Kindle. Search, click, buy. Search, sample, buy. Buy a book, others also bought, browse, sample, buy.
I think the term used is “frictionless”. I don’t have to enter credit card details with each purchase (thus giving me the chance to think it over). The book turns up in under 30 seconds.
And it’s easy to use!
I love my Kindle so very very much and while I love my book collection I look at it now as a big heavy problem. A problem involving beautiful things but a problem.
The loss of the cheaper secondhand market isn’t good but I think piracy and ultra-low cost ebooks will take care of that. We also need to work out how to retool our libraries so citizens can have access to any book they want.
Hooray for ebooks!